Insights & Strategies for Independent Hoteliers.

Today’s Revenue Management Thought - ran for 4 years

Now I publish Monday Revenue Rethink each Monday

5 Revenue Management Mistakes

Costing You Money

Dynamic Pricing Myths

Holding Your Hotel Back

How to Compete with OTAs

Without Losing Margin

The Power of a

Balanced Channel Mix

Nikolas Hall Nikolas Hall

Today's Revenue Management thought:-

Even though predictions / forecasts are almost useless, we insist on making them.

Many of my colleagues tend to overfocus on the outcome rather than paying closer attention to the process’s involved.

Look back at the forecasts we made years ago. Most of them are inaccurate for the simple reason that they were overtaken by random or unforeseeable events.

If forecasts are so useless, why do we insist on making them ?

I don’t know if there is a clearer way to say this: A forecast is usually accompanied — directly or indirectly — by an effort to sell something. It’s as simple as that.

Have a profitable week.

✌🏼

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Nikolas Hall Nikolas Hall

Today's Revenue Management thought:-

“Room rates tend to go higher” or “Recessions are cyclical.” These are not forecasts, because they lack specifics.

The statement “Room rates will increase to €255 by the Q2 of 2023,” on the other hand, has all the elements of a forecast, and it will either be proven right or wrong.

Be specific and clear in your wording.

Have a profitable week.

✌🏼

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Nikolas Hall Nikolas Hall

Today's Revenue Management thought:-

ADR as a KPI…..

Using averages as a foundation to make future predictions might be leaving a lot of relevant information on the table.

This is not to saying that averaging is not useful. It’s simply a tool for a specific task, namely noise reduction, and it should be used for that task only.

Have a profitable week.

✌🏼

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Nikolas Hall Nikolas Hall

Today's Revenue Management thought:-

Forecasting looks at how tendencies in the present signal possible changes in direction thereby identifying a full range of possibilities.

That doesn’t mean you must learn algebra to become a forecasting expert.

It is an exercise of using your own common sense to properly identify the opportunities and risks forecasts present.

At the end of the day, forecasting is nothing more (or less) than the systematic and disciplined application of common sense.

Have a profitable week.

✌🏼

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Nikolas Hall Nikolas Hall

Today's Revenue Management thought:-

Prices can be easily changed and easily matched by your competitors.

Consequently, the prices of your rooms alone might not provide your hotel with a sustainable competitive advantage.

Nonetheless, prices can attract consumers. So get your pricing right !

Have a profitable week.

✌🏼

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